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Good countries or good projects ? macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance
 
Author:Denizer, Cevdet; Kaufmann, Daniel; Kraay, Aart; Collection Title:Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5646Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP)
Country:World; Date Stored:2011/05/02
Document Date:2011/05/01Document Type:Policy Research Working Paper
Language:EnglishMajor Sector:Education
Rel. Proj ID:1W-Governance & Political Economy Research -- -- P060358;Region:The World Region
Report Number:WPS5646Sub Sectors:Primary education
SubTopics:Poverty Monitoring & Analysis; Economic Theory & Research; Housing & Human Habitats; Banks & Banking Reform; Country Strategy & PerformanceTF No/Name:TF095226-PHRD staff grant support for Junko Sekine; TF097855-KCP II - Worldwide Governance Indicators; BBRSB-BB RESEARCH SUPPORT BUDGET; TF091229-THE GROWTH EFFECTS OF PUBLIC INVESTMENTS; TF098334-The Development Effects of Public Sector Management Reform; TF098079-PHRD STAFF GRANT SUPPORT FOR JUNKO SEKINE; TF098332-W3-Accountability; TF039976-WORLD - INSTIT'NS TO MITIGATE FINAN. CRISIS. SOC. TENSION
Volume No:1 of 1  

Summary: The authors use data from more than 6,000 World Bank projects evaluated between 1983 and 2009 to investigate macro and micro correlates of project outcomes. They find that country-level "macro" measures of the quality of policies and institutions are very strongly correlated with project outcomes, confirming the importance of country-level performance for the effective use of aid resources. However, a striking feature of the data is that the success of individual development projects varies much more within countries than it does between countries. The authors assemble a large set of project-level "micro" correlates of project outcomes in an effort to explain some of this within-country variation. They find that measures of project size, the extent of project supervision, and evaluation lags are all significantly correlated with project outcomes, as are early-warning indicators that flag problematic projects during the implementation stage. They also find that measures of World Bank project task manager quality matter significantly for the ultimate outcome of projects. They discuss the implications of these findings for donor policies aimed at aid effectiveness.

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