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The impact of trade with China and India on Argentina's manufacturing employment, Volume 1
 
Author:Castro, Lucio; Olarreaga, Marcelo; Saslavsky, Daniel ; Country:Latin America; Argentina; India; China;
Date Stored:2007/02/23Document Date:2007/03/01
Document Type:Policy Research Working PaperSubTopics:Economic Theory & Research; Water and Industry; Free Trade; Trade Policy; Labor Markets
Language:EnglishRegion:East Asia and Pacific; South Asia; Latin America & Caribbean
Report Number:WPS4153Collection Title:Policy, Research working paper ; no. WPS 4153
Volume No:1  

Summary: For many in Latin America, the increasing participation of China and India in international markets is seen as a looming shadow of two "mighty giants" on the region's manufacturing sector. Are they really mighty giants when it comes to their impact on manufacturing employment? The authors attempt to answer this question by estimating the effects of trade with China and India on Argentina's industrial employment. They use a dynamic econometric model and industry level data to estimate the effects of trade with China and India on the level of employment in Argentina's manufacturing sector. Results suggest that trade with China and India only had a small negative effect on industrial employment, even during the swift trade liberalization of the 1990s.

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