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Linking public investment programs and SPAHD macro models : methodology and application to aid requirements
 
Author:Agenor, Pierre-Richard; Bayraktar, Nihal; Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel; Collection Title:Policy, Research working paper ; no. WPS 3944
Country:World; Niger; Date Stored:2006/06/28
Document Date:2006/06/01Document Type:Policy Research Working Paper
SubTopics:Economic Theory & Research; Public Sector Expenditure Policy; Population Policies; Investment and Investment Climate; Public Sector EconomicsLanguage:English
Region:The World Region; AfricaReport Number:WPS3944
Volume No:1 of 1  

Summary: The authors propose a "bottom up" approach to link public investment programs with a class of macro models recently developed to quantify Strategy Papers for Human Development (SPAHD) in low-income countries. The methodology involves establishing constant-price projections of investment outlays (disaggregated into infrastructure, education, and health), spending on maintenance and other goods and services, salaries, and user charges. These estimates are incorporated in a SPAHD macro framework to calculate, under alternative scenarios, domestic financing, foreign borrowing, and aid requirements. The authors also evaluate the impact on growth and indicators associated with the Millennium Development Goals. They use illustrative applications, based on a SPAHD model for Niger, to highlight the link between tax reform and aid requirements.

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