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Forecasting investment needs in South Africa's electricity and telecommunications sectors
 
Author:Bogetic, Zeljko; Fedderke, Johannes W.; Collection Title:Policy, Research working paper ; no. WPS 3829
Country:South Africa; Date Stored:2006/01/24
Document Date:2006/02/01Document Type:Policy Research Working Paper
Language:EnglishMajor Sector:Education; Finance
Rel. Proj ID:ZA-Growth And Jobs Workshops And Discussion Papers -- -- P097661;Region:Africa
Report Number:WPS3829Sub Sectors:General education sector; General finance sector; Power
SubTopics:Achieving Shared Growth; Economic Theory & Research; Banks & Banking Reform; Investment and Investment Climate; ICT Policy and StrategiesVolume No:1 of 1

Summary: The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.

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