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Assessing low-carbon development in Nigeria : an analysis of four sectors, Volume 1
Author:Cervigni, Raffaello [editor]; Rogers, John Allen [editor]; Dvorak, Irina [editor]; Country:Nigeria;
Date Stored:2013/07/09Document Date:2013/01/01
Document Type:PublicationSubTopics:Environmental Economics & Policies; Transport Economics Policy & Planning; Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases; Climate Change Economics; Energy and Environment
Major Sector:Energy and mining; Agriculture, fishing, and forestryRel. Proj ID:NG-Climate Change Implications For Growth In The Non-Oil Sector In -- -- P117818;
Region:AfricaReport Number:78281
Sub Sectors:General agriculture, fishing and forestry sector; General energy sectorCollection Title:A World Bank study
TF No/Name:TF098266-Nigeria:; TF098704-Nigeria:; TF097270-Adaptation to climate change impacts in Lagos, Nigeria, & Cotonou, Beni; TF097719-Climate Change Implications for Growth in the Non-Oil Sector in Nigeria; TF099126-Nigeria Climate Change Risk AssessmentVolume No:1

Summary: The Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) and the World Bank have agreed to carry out a Climate Change Assessment (CCA) within the framework of the Bank's Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for Nigeria (2010-13). The CCA includes an analysis of options for low-carbon development in selected sectors, including power, oil and gas, transport, and agriculture. The goal of the low-carbon analysis is to define likely trends in carbon emissions up to 2035, based on government sector development plans, and to identify opportunities for achieving equivalent development objectives with a reduced carbon footprint. This study comprises the following components: (i) development of a reference scenario of greenhouse gas (GHG) net emissions for the agriculture sector, consistent with vision 20: 2020 and other government plans; (ii) identification of opportunities for reduced net emissions- reduced emissions and or enhanced carbon sequestration- while achieving the same development objectives as in the reference scenario; and (iii) economic assessment of low-carbon options in order to help the Nigerian government to prioritize policy options. The study evaluates costs and benefits in a partial equilibrium setting, with no attempt to capture the indirect, general equilibrium effects of adopting low-carbon technologies or management practices. The results of this analysis (the first of its kind in Nigeria) should be considered as a first approximation of the potential for low-carbon development in the Nigerian agriculture sector. The study aims at providing policy makers with an order-of-magnitude estimate of mitigation potential, and an understanding of the value of dedicating further efforts (including through specific projects) at pursuing low-carbon development in agriculture, but is not meant to inform the design of specific, project-level interventions.

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