A ricardian analysis of the distribution of climate change impacts on agriculture across agro-ecological zones in Africa, Vol. 1 of 1

About

Countries

Data & Research

Learning

News

Projects & Operations

Publications

Topics

Home > Data & Research > Research > Author Profile > Report Details

A ricardian analysis of the distribution of climate change impacts on agriculture across agro-ecological zones in Africa

Author:	Seo, S. Niggol; Mendelsohn, Robert; Dinar, Ariel; Hassan, Rashid; Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep ;	Collection Title:	Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4599
Country:	Africa;	Date Stored:	2008/04/17
Document Date:	2008/04/01	Document Type:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English	Region:	Africa
Report Number:	WPS4599	SubTopics:	Climate Change and Environment; Common Property Resource Development; Transport and Environment; Global Environment Facility; Rural Poverty Reduction
Volume No:	1 of 1

Summary: This paper examines the distribution of climate change impacts across the 16 agro-ecological zones in Africa using data from the Food and Agriculture Organization combined with economic survey data from a Global Environment Facility/World Bank project. Net revenue per hectare of cropland is regressed on a set of climate, soil, and socio-economic variables using different econometric specifications "with" and "without" country fixed effects. Country fixed effects slightly reduce predicted future climate related damage to agriculture. With a mild climate scenario, African farmers gain income from climate change; with a more severe scenario, they lose income. Some locations are more affected than others. The analysis of agro-ecological zones implies that the effects of climate change will vary across Africa. For example, currently productive areas such as dry/moist savannah are more vulnerable to climate change while currently less productive agricultural zones such as humid forest or sub-humid zones become more productive in the future. The agro-ecological zone classification can help explain the variation of impacts across the landscape.


Official Documents Official, scanned versions of documents (may include signatures, etc.)
File Type		Description	File Size (mb)

	PDF 30 pages	Official version*	0.32
	Text	Text version**

* The official version is derived from scanning the final, paper copy of the document and is the official,
archived version including all signatures, charts, etc.

** The text version is the OCR text of the final scanned version and is not an accurate representation of the final text.
It is provided solely to benefit users with slow connectivity.

Permanent URL for this page: http://go.worldbank.org/UMP454B540