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Geopolitical interests and preferential access to U.S. markets, Volume 1
 
Author:Lederman, Daniel; Ozden, Caglar; Collection Title:Policy, Research working paper ; no. WPS 3531
Country:United States; World; Date Stored:2005/03/03
Document Date:2005/03/01Document Type:Policy Research Working Paper
SubTopics:Environmental Economics & Policies; Economic Theory & Research; Free Trade; Trade Policy; Trade and Regional IntegrationLanguage:English
Region:The World Region; Rest Of The WorldReport Number:WPS3531
Volume No:1  

Summary: The United States imports around 25 percent of its merchandise under some form of preferential trade regime. The authors examine both the origins and consequences of U.S. trade preferences in the context of the gravity model of international trade. First, they provide estimates of the impact of preferential trade regimes in terms of access to U.S. markets while controlling for geo-strategic interests that determine the countries that are offered commercial preferences. Second, the authors consider not only country eligibility but also the extent of utilization of these programs. Third, they provide new estimates of the impact of transport and transactions costs beyond distance. In the standard gravity estimation, the authors find that beneficiaries of these preferences, except GSP, export 2-3 times more than the excluded countries, after controlling for country and product characteristics. Nonetheless, the estimated effects of these programs are lower when controlling for utilization ratios and selection biases due to the correlation between geopolitical interests and the standard explanatory variables used in the gravity model of trade, such as countries' geographic distance from the United States.

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