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Recent and prospective adoption of genetically modified cotton : a global computable general equilibrium analysis of economic impacts, Volume 1
Author:Anderson, Kym; Valenzuela, Ernesto; Jackson, Lee Ann; Country:World;
Date Stored:2006/05/10Document Date:2006/05/01
Document Type:Policy Research Working PaperSubTopics:Environmental Economics & Policies; Crops and Crop Management Systems; Economic Theory & Research; Livestock and Animal Husbandry; Textiles, Apparel & Leather Industry
Language:EnglishRegion:The World Region
Report Number:WPS3917Collection Title:Policy, Research working paper ; no. WPS 3917
Volume No:1  

Summary: The authors provide estimates of the economic impact of initial adoption of genetically modified (GM) cotton and of its potential impacts beyond the few countries where it is currently common. They use the latest version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database and model. The results suggest that by following the lead of China and South Africa, adoption of GM cotton varieties by other developing countries-especially in Sub-Saharan Africa-could provide even larger proportionate gains to farmer and national welfare than in those first-adopting countries. Furthermore, the estimated gains are shown to exceed those from a successful campaign under the World Trade Organization's Doha Development Agenda to reduce and remove cotton subsidies and import tariffs globally.

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