Using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models in Trade & Poverty Analysis

Adelman, I. and S. Robinson. (1978) Income Distribution Policy: A Computable General Equilibrium Model of South Korea. Stanford: Stanford University Press.

Adelman, I. and S. Robinson. (1988) “Macroeconomic Adjustment and Income Distribution: Alternative Models Applied to Two Economies.” J. of Development Economics 29(1), 23-24.

Anderson Kym and E. Valenzuela (2007) "Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Countries?"  Review of World Economics (forthcoming). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3901.

Anderson, Kym, W.Martin and E. Valenzuela. (2006)"The relative importance of global agricultural subsidies and market access." World Trade Review 5(3):1-23.  World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3900.

Anderson, Kym and E. Valenzuela. (2006) "The World Trade Organization's Doha Cotton Initiative: a Tale of Two Issues."  World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3918.

Anderson, Kym, E. Valenzuela and Lee Jackson. (2006) "Recent and prospective adoption of genetically modified cotton: a global computable general equilbrium analysis of economic impacts." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3917.

Arndt, C., H. Jensen, S. Robinson, and F. Tarp. (2000) “Marketing Margins and Agricultural Technology in Mozambique.” Journal of Development Studies 37(1), 121-37.

Ballard, C., D. Fullerton, J. Shoven, and J. Whalley. (1985) A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Bautista, R. and M. Thomas. (1997) “Income Effects of Alternative Trade Policy Adjustments on Philippine Rural Households: A General Equilibrium Analysis.”  IFPRI Discussion Paper 22.

Bhattasali, D., L. Shantong and W. Martin (eds.) (2004) China and the WTO: Accession, Policy Reform and Poverty Reduction Strategies Oxford University Press..

Bourguignon, F. and C. Morrisson. (1989) External trade and income distribution.  Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

Bourguignon, F. and C. Morrisson. (1992) Adjustment and Equity in Developing Countries: A New Approach. Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development.

Bourguignon, F., J. Melo, and C. Morrisson. (1991) “Poverty and Income Distribution during Adjustment.” World Development 19(11), 1485-508.

Bourguignon, F., J. Melo, and A. Suwa. (1991) “Distributional Effects of Adjustment Policies: Simulations for Archetype Economies in Africa and Latin America.” World Bank Economic Review 5(2), 339-366.

Bourguignon, F. and L. Pereira da Silva. (2003) The Impact of Economic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Evaluation Techniques and Tools.  Washington, D.C.: The World Bank and Oxford University Press.

Bourguignon, F., A.S. Robilliard, and S. Robinson. (2003) “Representative Versus Real Households in the Macro-Economic Modeling of Inequality.” DELTA working paper 2003-05.

Bussolo, M. and J. Lay. (2003) “Globalization and Poverty Changes in Colombia.” Paper presented at the World Bank ABCDE Conference, Paris.

Chen, S. and M. Ravallion. (2004) “How Have the World’s Poorest Fared since the Early 1980’s?” World Bank Research Observer 19, 141-169.

Chia, N.C., S. Wahba, J. Whalley. (1994) “Poverty Reduction Targeting Programmes: A General Equilibrium Approach.” Journal of African Economies 3(2), 309-38.

Cockburn, J. (2001) “Trade Liberalisation and Poverty in Nepal: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis.”  Mimeo, Laval University, Montreal.

Cogneau, D. and A.S. Robilliard. (2000) “Growth, Distribution and Poverty in Madagascar: Learning from a Microsimulation Model in a General Equilibrium Framework.”  IFPRI TMD Discussion Paper 61. 

Coxhead, I. and P. Warr. (1995) “Does Technical Progress in Agriculture Alleviate Poverty? A Philippine Case Study.” Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics 39(1), 25-54.

Cranfield, J., P. Preckel, J. Eales, and T. Hertel. (2002) “Model Selection when Estimating and Predicting Consumer Demands Using International, Cross Section Data.” Empirical Economics 28(2), 353-364.

Decaluwé B., A. Patry, L. Savard, and E. Thorbecke. (1999) “Poverty Analysis within a General Equilibrium Framework.” CREFA Working Paper 9909. Université Laval.

de Janvry, A., E. Sadoulet and G.G. de Anda. (1995) “NAFTA and Mexico’s Maize Producers.” World Development 23(8), 1349-1362.

Dervis, K., J. de Melo, and S. Robinson. (1982) General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy.  Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Devarajan, S. and D. van de Mensbrugghe. (2000) “Trade Reform in South Africa: Impacts on Households.” Paper presented at “Conference on Poverty and the International Economy,” Stockholm, October 20-21.

Harrison, G., T. Rutherford, and D. Tarr. (2000) “Trade Liberalization, Poverty and Efficient Equity.” paper presented at the “Conference on Poverty and the International Economy,” Stockholm, October 20-21, subsequently published in the Journal of Development Economics (2003) 71, 97-128.

Harrison, G., T. Rutherford, and D. Tarr. (2003) “Quantifying the Impact of Trade Reform on Poverty,” paper presented at the “Conference on Empirical Methods in International Trade,” Woodrow Wilson Center, Washington, DC, January 20-21.

Harrison, G., T. Rutherford, D. Tarr, and A. Gurgel. (2003) “Regional, Multilateral and Unilateral Trade Policies of MERCOSUR for Growth and Poverty Reduction in Brazil,” Policy Research Working Paper 3051. World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Harrison, G., T. Rutherford and D. Tarr. (1997) “Quantifying the Uruguay Round.” Economic Journal 107, 1405-1430.

Hertel, T. and W. Martin. (2000) “Liberalizing Agriculture and Manufactures in a Millennium Round: Implications for Developing Countries.” World Economy 23, 455-470.

Hertel, T., F. Zhai, and Z. Wang. (2004a) “Implications of WTO Accession for Poverty in China.” In D. Bhattasali, S. Li, and W. Martin, eds., China and the WTO: Accession, Policy Reform, and Poverty Reduction Strategies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Hertel, T., M. Ivanic, P. Preckel, and J. Cranfield. (2004b) “Poverty Impacts of Multilateral Trade Liberalization.” World Bank Economic Review 18(2), 205-236.

Hertel, T., J. Reimer, and E. Valenzuela. (2005) "Incorporating Commodity Stockholding into a General Equilibrium Model of the Global Economy." Economic Modelling 22: 646-664.

Ianchovichina, E., A. Nicita, and I. Soloaga. (2001) “Trade Reform and Poverty: The Case of Mexico.” World Economy 25(7): 945-72.

Ianchovichina, E. and W. Martin. (2004) “Economic Impacts of China’s Accession to the WTO.” In D. Bhattasali, S. Li, and W. Martin, eds., China and the WTO: Accession, Policy Reform, and Poverty Reduction Strategies. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Ivanic, M. (2004) “Reconciliation of the GTAP and Household Survey Data.” GTAP Research Memorandum No. 5, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.

Jensen, Jesper and David G. Tarr (2003), “Trade, Exchange Rate and Energy Pricing Reform in Iran: Potentially Large Efficiency Effects and Gains to the Poor,” Review of Development Economics, Vol. 7, Number 4, November, 543-562.

Jensen, J., T. Rutherford and D. G. Tarr (2007), "The Impact of Liberalizing Barriers to Foreign Direct Investment in Services: The Case of Russian Accession to the World Trade Organization," Review of Development Economics, March.

Lipton, M. and M. Ravallion. (1995) “Poverty and Policy.” In J. Behrman and T.N. Srinivasan, eds., Vol. 3B, Handbook of Development Economics. New York: Elsevier North-Holland.

Löfgren, H., S. Robinson and M. El-Said (2003) “Poverty and Inequality Analysis in a General Equilibrium Framework: The Representative Household Approach,”  In F. Bourguignon, and L. Pereira da Silva (eds.) The Impact of Economic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Evaluation Techniques and Tools.  Washington, D.C.: The World Bank and Oxford University Press.

Löfgren, H. (2000) “Trade Reform and the Poor in Morocco: A Rural-Urban General Equilibrium Analysis of Reduced Protection.” In W. Shahin and G. Dibeh, eds., Earnings Inequality, Unemployment, and Poverty in the Middle East and North Africa. Westport: Greenwood Press.

Lysy, F. and L. Taylor. (1980) “The General Equilibrium Income Distribution Model.” In L. Taylor, E. Bacha, E. Cardoso and F. Lysy, eds., Models of Growth and Distribution for Brazil.  Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Ravallion, M. and D. van de Walle. (1991) “The Impact on Poverty of Food Pricing Reforms: A Welfare Analysis for Indonesia.” Journal of Policy Modeling 13(2), 281-299.

Ravallion, M. and M. Lokshin. (2004) “Gainers and Losers from Trade Reform in Morocco.” Mimeo, paper presented at the Seventh Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Washington, DC, June.

Reimer, J. (2002) “Estimating the Poverty Impacts of Trade Liberalization.” Policy Research Working Paper 2790.  World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Robilliard, A.S., F. Bourguignon, and S. Robinson. (2003) “Examining the Social Impact of the Indonesian Financial Crisis using a Micro-Macro Model” Unpublished paper presented at: ABCDE-Europe 2003, (Workshop Session J) Effects of Globalization Factors on Poverty and Inequality in National Economies.

Robilliard, A.S. and S. Robinson. (2003) “Reconciling Household Surveys and National Accounts Data Using a Cross-Entropy Estimation Method.” Review of Income and Wealth 49(3), 395-406.

Robinson, S., M. Burfisher, R. Hinojosa, and K. Thierfelder. (1993) “Agricultural Policies and Migration in a U.S.-Mexico Free Trade Area: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis.” Journal of Policy Modeling 15(5-6), 673-701.

Rutherford, T., David G. Tarr and O. Shepotylo. (2005) “Poverty Effects of Russia's Accession to the WTO: modeling real households and endogenous productivity effects" World Bank Policy and Research Working Paper No. 3473.

Rutherford, Thomas, David G. Tarr and O. Shepotylo (2005)  “The Impact on Russia of WTO Accession and The Doha Agenda: the importance of liberalization of barriers against  foreign direct investment in services for growth and poverty reduction,” in Thomas Hertel and L. Alan Winters (eds.), Putting Development Back into the Doha Agenda: Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement, 2005

Sicular, T. and Y. Zhao. (2002) “Employment, Earnings and the Rural Poverty Impacts of China’s WTO Accession.” Paper presented at the DRC/World Bank Workshop on WTO Accession and Poverty, Beijing.

Taylor, L., ed. (1990) Socially Relevant Policy Analysis: Structuralist Computable General Equilibrium Models for the Developing World.  Cambridge: The MIT Press.

Warr, P. (2001) “Welfare and Distributional Effects of an Export Tax: Thailand’s Rice Premium.”  American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 83(4), 903-920.

Last updated on September 7, 2006