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Climate Volatility, Agricultural Variability, and Poverty Vulnerability

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Climate Volatility, Agricultural Variability, and Poverty Vulnerability

October 20, 2009           Washington, D. C.

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There are many climate change and agriculture projects that are either being planned or implemented at the World Bank. The vast majority is focused on adaptation and long term changes in temperature and precipitation. However, there is a strong and growing interest in the impact of interannual climate variability on agriculture, with many anchors and regions investing heavily in knowledge resources on volatility impacts. The key component of these analyses is the characterization of the climate-agriculture-poverty linkages. Many are leveraging a variety of methods, both statistical and simulation-based, and a variety of data sources. It may be helpful to Bank staff to know more about these analytical options, and the pros/cons of the various approaches.

This learning and knowledge sharing workshop by the Rural Development team of the Development Research Group (DECRG) – in collaboration with the Climate Change for Development Professionals (CCDP) Program – offers such a review of these methods, and provide some knowledge tools to understand them.

The morning session covers the basics of climate model results, and various approaches to estimate agricultural impacts. This is followed by a lunchtime panel discussion with experts and leaders from different regions and sectors within the Bank to discuss what kind of analytical work their respective projects and programs require and/or are conducting. The afternoon session features country studies and cross-country analyses of climate impacts on poverty, each of them highlighting one of the different approaches/models to understand climate impacts on agriculture that were discussed earlier in the day.


There are two groups of people that may find this workshop most helpful. The first group comprises the technically oriented personnel that are either doing or overseeing the analytical work in the regions and networks/anchors. The second group includes management (task team leaders, managers, advisors, etc) and other personnel that are interested in the tools and knowledge products that are available for better informed planning of unit work programs. Colleagues working on climate change at IFPRI and other international organizations will also be invited to participate.

Contact information:  Syud Amer Ahmed at

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