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Home > Data & Research > Research > Programs > The Economics of Con... > Post-Conflict Transitions Conference

Post-Conflict Transitions Conference

Conflict

Post-Conflict Transitions
Conference

World Bank, Washington, DC
April 30^th - May 1^st, 2007

AGENDA

Monday, April 30th

9:00 – 9:30 am

Breakfast (Adjacent to Preston Auditorium)

9:30 - 10:30 am

Opening Session (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	Francois Bourguignon Chief Economist & Sr. Vice President Development Economics, World Bank
Opening Remarks:	Paul Wolfowitz President, World Bank
Agenda Overview:	Ibrahim Elbadawi Project Manager & Lead Economist Development Economics Research Group, World Bank

10:30 - 11:00 am

Coffee Break (Adjacent to Preston Auditorium)

11:00 am - 1:00 pm

Summary of Issues and Findings (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	L. Alan Winters, Director Development Economics Research Group World Bank
Presentation:	Ibrahim Elbadawi, World Bank Mark Mattner, World Bank Gary Milante, World Bank
Responses & Perspectives:	Sarah Cliffe, Manager Fragile States Group, World Bank Lual Deng, State Minister Ministry of Finance and National Economy, Sudan Judith Karl, Chief Central Strategy and Policy Cluster Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, UNDP Anja Kasperson, Director Project on Multidimensional and Integrated Peace Operations, Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs

1:00 – 2:00 pm

Lunch

2:00 – 3:30 pm

Book Discussion and Signing (Infoshop)

Introduction:	Francois Bourguignon, Chief Economist & Sr. Vice President Development Economics, World Bank
Speaker:	Paul Collier, Director Center for the Study of African Economies, Oxford Author of “The Bottom Billion”
Discussants:	Alan Gelb, Director of Development Policy Development Economics, World Bank

3:30 pm – 5:30 pm

Session I: Democracy and Conflict (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	Roberta Gatti Senior Economist Development Economics Research Group World Bank
Lead Discussant:	Mustapha Nabli Chief Economist, Social and Economic Development Group World Bank
Agenda Overview:	Ibrahim Elbadawi Project Manager & Lead Economist Development Economics Research Group World Bank

Phil Keefer:	Insurgencies and credible commitments in autocracies and democracies
Colin Jennings:	Political Leadership, Conflict and the Prospects for Constitutional Peace
Gudrun Østby:	Political Institutions, Horizontal Inequalities and Civil Conflict
Lead Discussant:	Shantayanan Devarajan, Chief Economist South Asia Region, World Bank

Ibrahim Elbadawi, Cristina Bodea:	Civil Wars as One of Several Alternative Manifestations of Conflict: Social Fractionalization Matters
Simeon Djankov, Marta Reynal- Querol:	Colonial Origins of Civil War
Nils Petter Gleditsch, Lene Siljeholm Christiansen, Håvard Hegre:	Democratic Jihad: Military Intervention and Democracy
Overview Discussant:	Philip Oxhorn, Director Center for Developing-Area Studies, McGill University

Tuesday, May 1st

8:00 - 8:30 am

Breakfast (Adjacent to Preston Auditorium)

8:30 – 10:30 am

Session II: Macroeconomic Policy and Economic Performance (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	Pradeep Mitra, Chief Economist Europe and Central Asia Region, World Bank
Lead Discussant:	Nicholas Staines, Senior Economist International Monetary Fund

Ibrahim Elbadawi, Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel:	The Demand for Money Around the End of Civil Wars
Victor Davies:	Capital Flight and War
Christopher Adam, Paul Collier, Victor Davies:	Post-Conflict Monetary Reconstruction
Lead Discussant:	Jaime De Melo, Editor World Bank Economic Review

Norman Loayza Marta Reynal-Querol Siyan Chen:	The Aftermath of Civil Wars: An Event-Study Approach to Post-Conflict Transitions
Ibrahim Elbadawi Linda Kaltani Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel:	Post-Conflict Aid, Real Exchange Rate Adjustment and Catch-up Growth
Ibrahim Elbadawi, Cristina Bodea:	Political Violence and Underdevelopment
Overview Discussant:	Sanjeev Gupta, Senior Advisor Fiscal Affairs Department International Monetary Fund

10:30 – 11:00 am

Coffee (Adjacent to Preston Auditorium)

11:00 am – 1:00 pm

Session III: Conflict Perspectives (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	Ajay Chhibber, Director Independent Evaluation Group, World Bank
Lead Discussant:	Karen Ballentine, Project Manager Fostering Post-Conflict Economic Recovery Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, UNDP

Håvard Hegre, Clionadh Raleigh:	Population Size, Concentration and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
Philip Kilicoat:	Weaponomics: The Global Market for Assault Rifles
Lead Discussant:	Tjip Walker, Team Leader Warning and Analysis Office of Conflict Management and Mitigation, USAID

Clionadh Raleigh:	Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods
Indra de Soysa, Eric Neumayer:	Disarming Fears of Diversity: Ethnic Heterogeneity and State Militarization, 1988-2002
Rich Stanley:	Why are Civil Wars in Africa so Difficult for Governments to Win? A Quantitative Study of Civil War Outcomes
Overview Discussant:	Jean Paul Azam, IDEI Researcher University Toulouse

1:00 – 2:30 pm

Lunch
The Human Security Report: 2006
Introduction: Stewart Patrick, Center for Global Development

Speaker: Andrew Mack, University of British Columbia

2:30 – 4:30 pm

Session IV: Peacebuilding and Demobilization (Preston Auditorium)

Chair:	Luis Serven, Research Manager Development Economics Research Group, World Bank
Lead Discussant:	Mark Schneider, Sr. Vice President International Crisis Group

Nicholas Sambanis:	Short-Term and Long-Term Effects of United Nations Peacekeeping Operations
Helga Binningsbø, Scott Gates, Tove G. Lie:	Post-Conflict Justice and Sustainable Peace
Paul Collier, Anke Hoeffler Mans Soderbom:	Post-Conflict Risks
Lead Discussant:	Representative [tentative], IMF Development Issues Division

Desiree Nilsson:	Partial Peace: Rebel Groups Inside and Outside of Civil War Settlements - Contact the author for a current version of the paper
Katherine Glasmyer, Nicholas Sambanis:	Rebel Military Integration and Civil War Termination
Paul Collier, Anke Hoeffler:	Military Spending and the Risks of Coups d.Etats

4:30 – 5:00 pm

Coffee and Tea (Adjacent to Preston Auditorium)

5:00 – 6:00 pm:

Closing Session: The Way Forward (Preston Auditorium)

Project Panel:	Ibrahim Elbadawi, World Bank Håvard Hegre, International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO)
Related Research on the Horizon:	Patricia Justino, Households in Conflict Network & MICROCON Philip Oxhorn, CDAS Research Karen Ballentine, UNDP Post-Conflict Economic Recovery

[1] Dissemination conference for research by the Post-Conflict Transitions Research Project a two year research project at the World Bank and partners at the International Peace Research Institute of Oslo (PRIO) and the Center for the Study of African Economies at Oxford (CSAE). This research was funded by the Knowledge for Change Program, the Norwegian Government and the Post-Conflict Trust Fund. Background information on the project available at: http://econ.worldbank.org/programs/conflict

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