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Civil War Onset

The Economics of Civil War, Crime and Violence

Civil wars studies aim to uncover and analyze the economic causes and consequences of civil wars and to study in detail the complex inter-relationships between economic, political, and social variables as they affect the probability of civil war occurrence as well as the duration and intensity of these wars. These analyses will generate insights into the sort of economic policies that we must support in the developing world to reduce the probability of civil war and will define ways through which the World Bank and other international organizations can reduce human suffering in post-conflict countries.
 
Most of the papers below use statistical methods to compare different factors that may be associated with a high risk of civil war: Poverty, lootable resources, particular political instutitions, changes in such instutitions, ethnic cleavages, and geographic and democraphic factors.

Documents

The policy research working papers below are drawn from the World Bank's institutional archives. Each link opens a page with an abstract of the document and several download options. Choose the 'light-weight documents' option for easy download.

You can also download other related documents. These include content-rich current outputs (updated document versions, miscellaneous documents, and web pages).

Library

WPS4186A kleptocrat's survival guide : autocratic longevity in the face of civil conflictMilante, Gary2007/04
WPS4193Horizontal inequalities, political environment, and civil conflict : evidence from 55 developing countries, 1986-2003Ostby, Gudrun2007/04
WPS4196Political leadership, conflict, and the prospects for constitutional peaceJennings, Colin2007/04
28126Greed and grievance in civil warCollier, Paul ; Hoeffler, Anke 2002/03
WPS2533How much war will we see? Estimating the incidence of civil war in 161 countriesElbadawi, Ibrahim; Sambanis, Nicholas2001/01
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