Civil War Onset

Civil wars studies aim to uncover and analyze the economic causes and consequences of civil wars and to study in detail the complex inter-relationships between economic, political, and social variables as they affect the probability of civil war occurrence as well as the duration and intensity of these wars. These analyses will generate insights into the sort of economic policies that we must support in the developing world to reduce the probability of civil war and will define ways through which the World Bank and other international organizations can reduce human suffering in post-conflict countries.
 
Most of the papers below use statistical methods to compare different factors that may be associated with a high risk of civil war: Poverty, lootable resources, particular political institutions, changes in such institutions, ethnic cleavages, and geographic and demographic factors.

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