Microenterprise Growth and the Flypaper E¤ect: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Ghana, with Marcel Fafchamps,Simon Quinn, and Christopher Woodruff. Journal of Development Economics, forthcoming.
Business Training and Female Enterprise Start-up, Growth, and Dynamics: Experimental evidence from Sri Lanka, with Suresh de Mel and Chris Woodruff. Journal of Development Economics, forthcoming.
Eliciting Illegal migration rates through list randomization with Melissa Siegel. Migration Studies. Forthcoming.
- Miserable Migrants? Natural Experiment Evidence on International Migration and Objective and Subjective Well-Being with Steven Stillman, John Gibson,and Halahingano Rohorua. World Development, forthcoming.
Learning from the experiments that never happened: Lessons from trying to conduct randomized evaluations of matching grant programs in Africa with Francisco Campos, Aidan Coville, Ana Fernandes and Markus Goldstein. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, forthcoming.
Using Administrative Data to Evaluate Municipal Reforms: An Evaluation of the Impact of Minas Fácil Expresso, with Miriam Bruhn, Journal of Development Effectiveness, forthcoming.
Distortions in the International Migrant Labor Market: Evidence from Filipino Migration and Wage Responses to Destination Country Economic Shocks , with Caroline Theoharides and Dean Yang, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, forthcoming.
What are we learning from business training evaluations around the developing world? with Chris Woodruff, World Bank Research Observer, forthcoming.
Quantifying Some of the Impacts of Economics Blogs with Berk Ozler, Economic Development and Cultural Change, forthcoming.
The Development Impact of a Best Practice Seasonal Worker Policy with John Gibson, Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.
Does Management Matter? Evidence from India with Nick Bloom, Benn Eifert, Aprajit Mahajan and John Roberts, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128(1): 1-51, 2013.
Enterprise Recovery following Natural Disasters with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, Economic Journal, 122: 64-91, 2012.
Getting Credit to High Return Microentrepreneurs: The Results of an Information Intervention, with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, World Bank Economic Review, 25(3): 456-85, 2011.
Remittances and the Brain Drain Revisited: The microdata show more educated migrants remit more with A. Bollard, M. Morten and H. Rapoport, World Bank Economic Review, 25(1): 132-156, 2011.
Buying less, but shopping more: Changes in consumption patterns during a crisis with E. Schargrodsky, Economia, 11(2): 1-43, 2011.
Using PDA consistency checks to increase the precision of profits and sales measurement in panels with M. Fafchamps, S. Quinn and C. Woodruff, Journal of Development Economics, forthcoming.
The Remitting Patterns of African Migrants in the OECD with A. Bollard and M. Morten, Journal of African Economics, 19(5): 605-34, 2010.
What happens to Diet and Child Health when Migration Splits Households? Evidence from a Migration Lottery Program with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, Food Policy, 36(1): 7-15, 2011.
Measuring Subjective Expectations in Developing Countries: A Critical Review and New Evidence, with A. Delavande and X. Gine, Journal of Development Economics, 94(2): 151-63, 2010.
Can Migration Reduce Educational Attainment? Evidence from Mexico, with H. Rapoport, Journal of Population Economics, 24(4): 1331-1358, 2011.
Eliciting Probabilistic Expectations with Visual Aids in Developing Countries: How sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design? with A. Delavande and X. Gine, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 26(3): 479-497, 2011.
The Impacts of International Migration on Remaining Household Members: Omnibus Results from a Migration Lottery Program, with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, Review of Economics and Statistics, 93(4): 1297-1317, 2011.
Wage Subsidies for Microenterprises with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 100(2): 614-18, 2010.
Why do Firms in Developing Countries Have Low Productivity, with N. Bloom, A. Mahajan and J. Roberts, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 100(2): 619-23, 2010.
The Microeconomic Determinants of Emigration and Return Migration of the Best and Brightest: Evidence from the Pacific, with J. Gibson, Journal of Development Economics, 95(1): 18-29, 2011. Appendix
How do Pacific Island households and communities cope with seasonally absent members? with J. Gibson, H. Rohorua and P. Garcia-Martinez, Pacific Economic Bulletin 24(3): 19-38, 2009.
"Information Flows and Migration: Recent Survey Evidence from the South Pacific" with J. Gibson, H. Rohorua and S. Stillman, Asian and Pacific Migration Journal, 19(3): 401-20, 2010.
"The Impact of Immigration on Child Health: Experimental Evidence From a Migration Lottery Program", with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, Economic Inquiry, 50(1): 62-81, 2012.
Migration and Mental Health: Evidence from a Natural Experiment with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, Journal of Health Economics, 28(3): 677-87, 2009.
Does it pay firms to register for taxes? The impact of formality on firm profitability with Y. S. Sakho, Journal of Development Economics, 91(1): 15-24, 2010.
Impact Assessments in Finance and Private Sector Development: What have we learned and what should we learn?, World Bank Research Observer, 25(2): 209-33,2010.
Are Women More Credit Constrained? Experimental Evidence on Gender and Microenterprise Returns, with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(3):1-32, 2009.
In Pursuit of Balance: Randomization in Practice in Development Field Experiments, with M. Bruhn, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(4): 200-32, 2009.
Self-Selection Patterns in Mexico-U.S. Migration: The Role of Migration Networks, with H. Rapoport, Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(4): 811-821, 2010.
"Japanese-Brazilians and the Future of Brazilian Migration to Japan", with A. Salcedo, International Migration, forthcoming.
Surveying Migrant Households: A Comparison of Census-based, Snowball, and Intercept Surveys, with J. Mistiaen, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 172(2): 339-360, 2009.
Experimental Evidence on Returns to Capital and Access to Finance in Mexico, with C. Woodruff, World Bank Economic Review, 22(3): 457-82.
How Important is Selection? Experimental Vs Non-experimental Measures of the Income Gains from Migration, with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, Journal of the European Economic Association, 8(4): 913-45, 2010.
Returns to Capital: Results from a Randomized Experiment, with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(4): 1329-72, 2008.
"Mental Health Patterns and Consequences: Results from Survey Data in Five Developing Countries", with J. Das, Q.-T. Do, and J. Friedman, World Bank Economic Review, 23(1), 31-55, 2009.
Measuring Microenterprise Profits: Must We Ask How the Sausage Is Made?, with S. de Mel and C.Woodruff, Journal of Development Economics, 88(1): 19-31, 2009.
"Urban Water Supply in India: Status, Reform Options, and Possible Lessons", with I. Ray, Water Policy, 11: 442-60, 2009.
Efficient Remittance Services for Development in the Pacific, with J. Gibson, G. Boe-Gibson, and H. Rohorua, Asia-Pacific Development Journal, 14(2):55-74, 2007.
Who is coming from Vanuatu to New Zealand under the new Recognized Seasonal Employer (RSE) Program? with P.Garcia Martinez and L.A. Winters, Pacific Economic Bulletin 23(3):205-228, 2008.
How Pro-Poor is the Selection of Seasonal Migrant Workers from Tonga Under New Zealand’s Recognized Seasonal Employer (RSE) Program? with J. Gibson and H. Rohorua, Pacific Economic Bulletin 23(3): 187-204, 2008.
A Profile of the World's Young Developing Country Migrants, Population and Development Review, 34(1): 115-135 (2008).
Mental Health Recovery and Economic Recovery after the Tsunami: High-Frequency Longitudinal Evidence from Sri Lanka with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, Social Science and Medicine, 66: 582-95 (2008)
"Revisiting the Relationship between Mental Health and Poverty in Developing Countries: A Response to Corrigall", with J. Das, Q.-T. Do, J. Friedman, and K. Scott, Social Science and Medicine, 66(9): 2064-66 (2008).
Which Youth Get to Make Human Capital Decisions? Results from Recent Surveys, Development Outreach (June 2007).
"Paper Walls Are Easier to Tear Down: Passport Costs and Legal Barriers to Emigration", World Development. 35(11): 2026-2039 (2007).
Poverty Traps and Nonlinear Income Dynamics with Measurement Error and Individual Heterogeneity, with F. Antman, Journal of Development Studies, 43(6): 1057-1083 (August 2007).
Using the Global Positioning System (GPS) in Household Surveys for Better Economics and Better Policy, with J. Gibson, World Bank Research Observer, 2007, 22(2): 217-41.
"Mental Health and Poverty in Developing Countries: Revisiting the Relationship", with J. Das, Q.-T. Do, J. Friedman, and K. Scott, Social Science and Medicine, 65(3): 467-80 (August 2007).
Earnings Mobility and Measurement Error: A Pseudo-Panel Approach, with F. Antman, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 56(1): 125-162 (2007).
"Moving to Opportunity, Leaving Behind What? Evaluating the Initial Effects of a Migration Policy on Incomes and Poverty in a Source Country", with J. Gibson and S. Stillman, New Zealand Economic Papers, 41(2): 197-224 (2007).
Migration and Education Inequality in Rural Mexico with H. Rapoport, Integration and Trade Journal/Revista Integración y Comercio, 27: 13-158 (2007).
Network Effects and the dynamics of Migration and Inequality: Theory and Evidence from Mexico, with H. Rapoport, Journal of Development Economics, 84(1): 1-24 (2007).
How cost elastic are remittances? Evidence from Tongan migrants in New Zealand, with J. Gibson and H. Rohorua, Pacific Economic Bulletin, 21(1): 112-128 (2006).
Do Entry Costs Provide an Empirical Basis for Poverty Traps? Evidence from Mexican Microenterprises, with C. Woodruff, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 55(1): 3-42 (2006).
The Consumer Response to the Mexican Peso Crisis, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 55(1): 139-72 (2006).
Disentangling Age, Cohort and Time Effects in the Additive Model, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68(4): 473-95 (2006).
Precautionary Saving and Consumption Growth in Taiwan, China Economic Review, 17(1): 84-101 (2006).
Measuring Inequality with Asset Indicators, Journal of Population Economics, 18(2): 229-260 (2005).
The effects of migration on child health in Mexico, with N. Hildebrandt, Economia, 6(1): 257-89 (2005).
"Aggregate Shocks and Labor Market Responses: Evidence from Argentina’s Financial Crisis", Economic Development and Cultural Change, 52(4): 719-758 (2004).
"Asymptotic Theory for Heterogeneous Dynamic Pseudo-Panels", Journal of Econometrics, 120(2): 235-262 (2004).
"An Econometric Analysis of IBRD Creditworthiness", International Economic Journal, 18(4): 429-450 (2004).
"The Distributive Impact of Privatization in Latin America: An Overview of Evidence from Four Countries", with D. Mookherjee, Economia, 3(2): 161-218 (2003).
"How Do Households Cope with Aggregate Shocks? Evidence from the Mexican Peso Crisis", World Development, 31(7): 1179-1199 (2003).
"The Prudence of Mexican Consumers", Economía Mexicana, Nueva Época , 11(2): 393-407 (2002).
Are tortillas a giffen good in Mexico?, Economics Bulletin , 15(1): 1-7 (2002).
"Estimation of AR(1) Models with Unequally-Spaced Pseudo-Panels", Econometrics Journal 2001, 4: 89- 108. Reprinted as pp. 372-91, B. Baltagi (ed.), Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Panel Data Volume II, Edward Elgar: Northampton, MA (2002).
"The Impact of Capital Controls on Growth Convergence", Journal of Economic Development 26(1):1-24 (2001).
"Econometric cost estimates for cellular telephony in the United States", with J. P. Small, Journal of Regulatory Economics , 12(2): 147-57 (1997).
Chapters in Books
Experimental Approaches in Migration Studies with Dean Yang pp. 249-269 in Carlos Vargas-Silva (ed.) Handbook of Research Methods in Migration. Edward-Elgar: Northampton, MA.
How can developing country governments facilitate international migration for poverty reduction? with J. Gibson, pp.125-43 in Migration and Poverty: Toward Better Opportunities for the Poor, E. Murrugarra, J. Larrison and M. Sasin (eds.) The World Bank, 2011.
Who are the Microenterprise Owners?: Evidence from Sri Lanka on Tokman v. de Soto with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, in International Differences in Entrepreneurship, J. Lerner and A. Schoar (eds.), pp.63-87, 2010.
Remittances in the Pacific, in Immigrants and their International Money Flows, S. Pozo (ed.), W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research: Kalamazoo, MI, pp. 99-121 (2007).
The Impact of an Ex-Ante Job Offer Requirement on Labor Migration: The New Zealand-Tongan Experience, with J. Gibson, in International Migration, Economic Development and Policy, C. Ozden and M. Schiff (eds.), World Bank, Washington, DC, pp. 215-233 (2007).
Paradox and Perception: Evidence from Four Latin American Countries, with D. Mookherjee, chapter 2 in Reality Check: The Distributional Impact of Privatization in Developing Countries, J. Nellis and N. Birdsall (eds.) Center for Global Development: Washington, D.C. (2005).
Beyond Remittances: The effects of Migration on Mexican Households, in International Migration, Remittances and the Brain Drain, C. Ozden and M. Schiff (eds.) The World Bank: Washington D.C. (2005).
Capitalization and privatization in Bolivia: An approximation to an evaluation, with G. Barja and M. Urquiola, chapter 4 in Reality Check: The Distributional Impact of Privatization in Developing Countries, J. Nellis and N. Birdsall (eds.) Center for Global Development, Washington DC. (2005).
Book Reviews and Comments
Review of "Poverty Traps" by S. Bowles, S. Durlauf and K. Hoff (eds.), Economic Development and Cultural Change, 55(4): 845-848 (July 2007).
Comment on "Assessing Health Reform in Colombia: From Theory to Practice" by A. Gaviria et al., Economia, 7(1): 64-65 (Fall 2006).
Review of "Indonesian Living Standards after the Financial Crisis" by J. Strauss et al., Journal of Economic Literature (September 2005).
Survey Instruments and Data
- Why is voluntary financial education so unpopular ? Experimental evidence from Mexico with Miriam Bruhn and Gabriel Lara Ibarra World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 6439, (May 2013).
- A helping hand or the long arm of the law ? experimental evidence on what governments can do to formalize firms with Gustavo Henrique de Andrade, and Miriam Bruhn World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 6435, (May 2013).
- Soft Skills or Hard Cash ? The Impact of Training and Wage Subsidy Programs on Female Youth Employment in Jordan with Matthew Groh, Nandini Krishnan, and Tara Vishwanath, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 6141, (July 2012).
- Who You Train Matters: Identifying Complementary Effects of Financial Education on Migrant Households, with Yoko Doi and Bilal Zia, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 6157, (August, 2012).
- Business Training and Female Enterprise Start-up , Growth, and Dynamics: Experimental Evidence from Sri Lanka, with Suresh de Mel and Chris Woodruff, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 6145, (July, 2012).
- Learning About Migration Through Experiments, March 2012.
- Female Microenterprises and the Fly-paper Effect: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Ghana, (November, 2011).
Using repeated cross-sections to explore movements in and out of poverty with P. Lanjouw and J. Luoto, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5550 (January 2011).
Innovative Firms or Innovative Owners? Determinants of Innovation in Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises with S. de Mel and C. Woodruff, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4934.
Entry regulation and formalization of microenterprises in developing countries with Miriam Bruhn, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6507.
Think Again: Brain Drain with M. Clemens. Foreign Policy, October 22, 2009.
Summaries of impact evaluations